Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

76out of 100

Low Risk

Resolution criteria are well-specified with low post-trade dispute risk.

Strong rule clarity (76/100). This market scores well across time clarity and outcome definition. Traders can have high confidence that the resolution criteria are unambiguous and verifiable.

Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence".

Score Breakdown

Six weighted criteria

Time Clarity

How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.

Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.

20/20

Resolution Source

Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.

Resolution source is explicitly named and authoritative.

17/20

Outcome Definition

How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.

Outcome conditions are precisely defined with explicit YES/NO resolution criteria.

18/20

Evidence Standard

Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.

Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.

5/15

Edge Case Handling

Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.

Some edge cases are considered; postponement or revision scenarios are referenced.

9/15

Post-Trade Risk

Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.

Post-trade risk is low; resolution depends on publicly verifiable events.

7/10

Resolution & Oracle

How this market settles

Resolution status available

Gamma exposes a resolution status for this market (shown below).

Resolution oracle: 0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24
UMA status: proposed
Condition ID: 0x2575e6ffba4b0221654217dc5cd283c969816a2f2ed4729b39276438e8609077

Market Details

Volume

$1.8M

24h Change

-22.4pp

Liquidity

24h Volume

$1.6M

End Date

June 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup

Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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