Medium Risk
Some ambiguity present. Human review recommended before large positions.
Moderate rule clarity (67/100). The market is generally well-structured with solid time clarity and resolution source. Note: Resolution relies on "confirmed" or "announced" without a defined timing constraint. Ambiguity is limited but traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
17/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is explicitly named and authoritative.
17/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is clear and binary; resolution conditions are described in the text.
14/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Some edge cases are considered; postponement or revision scenarios are referenced.
9/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Moderate post-trade risk — some resolution criteria could be interpreted differently.
5/10
How this market settles
Resolution status available
Gamma exposes a resolution status for this market (shown below).
Volume
$905K
24h Change
-42.4pp
Liquidity
$0
24h Volume
$878K
End Date
June 21, 2026 at 03:59 AM UTC
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Description
This market will resolve to "Kyoji Horiguchi" if Kyoji Horiguchi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manel Kape at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Manel Kape" if Manel Kape is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
