Low Risk
Resolution criteria are well-specified with low post-trade dispute risk.
Strong rule clarity (78/100). This market scores well across time clarity and resolution source. Traders can have high confidence that the resolution criteria are unambiguous and verifiable.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is explicitly named and authoritative.
17/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is clear and binary; resolution conditions are described in the text.
14/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Some evidence guidance is provided; acceptable data sources are referenced.
8/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Edge cases such as delays, revisions, and cancellations are explicitly addressed.
12/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Post-trade risk is low; resolution depends on publicly verifiable events.
7/10
How this market settles
No on-chain dispute record available
Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.
Volume
$520K
24h Change
-12.5pp
Liquidity
$20K
24h Volume
$517K
End Date
June 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup
Description
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Iraq, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If France score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on France's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
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