Medium Risk
Some ambiguity present. Human review recommended before large positions.
Moderate rule clarity (67/100). The market is generally well-structured with solid time clarity and resolution source. Note: Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence". Ambiguity is limited but traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is referenced; an official body or named data provider is cited.
14/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is clear and binary; resolution conditions are described in the text.
14/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Some edge cases are considered; postponement or revision scenarios are referenced.
9/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Moderate post-trade risk — some resolution criteria could be interpreted differently.
5/10
How this market settles
Resolution status available
Gamma exposes a resolution status for this market (shown below).
Volume
$186K
24h Change
-59.0pp
Liquidity
$0
24h Volume
$186K
End Date
June 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
Resolution Source
https://www.dotabuff.com
Description
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 1 match between MOUZ and Yellow Submarine in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 22 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Yellow Submarine. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
