Low Risk
Resolution criteria are well-specified with low post-trade dispute risk.
Strong rule clarity (75/100). This market scores well across time clarity and resolution source. Traders can have high confidence that the resolution criteria are unambiguous and verifiable.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is explicitly named and authoritative.
20/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome conditions are precisely defined with explicit YES/NO resolution criteria.
18/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Basic edge cases may be implied but are not explicitly documented in the rules.
5/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Post-trade risk is low; resolution depends on publicly verifiable events.
7/10
How this market settles
No on-chain dispute record available
Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.
Volume
$266K
24h Change
-0.3pp
Liquidity
$8K
24h Volume
$265K
End Date
June 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/
Description
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 U.S. Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
