Medium Risk
Some ambiguity present. Human review recommended before large positions.
Moderate rule clarity (64/100). The market is generally well-structured with solid time clarity and resolution source. Note: Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence". Ambiguity is limited but traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is referenced; an official body or named data provider is cited.
14/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is broadly understandable but resolution criteria could be more explicit.
11/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Some edge cases are considered; postponement or revision scenarios are referenced.
9/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Moderate post-trade risk — some resolution criteria could be interpreted differently.
5/10
How this market settles
Resolution status available
Gamma exposes a resolution status for this market (shown below).
Volume
$705K
24h Change
-46.5pp
Liquidity
$630K
24h Volume
$704K
End Date
June 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
Resolution Source
https://hltv.org
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
