Medium Risk
Some ambiguity present. Human review recommended before large positions.
Moderate rule clarity (69/100). The market is generally well-structured with solid time clarity and resolution source. Note: Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence". Ambiguity is limited but traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is referenced; an official body or named data provider is cited.
14/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is broadly understandable but resolution criteria could be more explicit.
11/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Edge cases such as delays, revisions, and cancellations are explicitly addressed.
12/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Post-trade risk is low; resolution depends on publicly verifiable events.
7/10
How this market settles
No on-chain dispute record available
Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.
Volume
$423K
24h Change
—
Liquidity
$15K
24h Volume
$423K
End Date
June 21, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
Resolution Source
https://hltv.org
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between FURIA and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 21 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than FURIA in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FURIA". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
