Low Risk
Resolution criteria are well-specified with low post-trade dispute risk.
Strong rule clarity (75/100). This market scores well across time clarity and resolution source. Traders can have high confidence that the resolution criteria are unambiguous and verifiable.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is explicitly named and authoritative.
17/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is clear and binary; resolution conditions are described in the text.
14/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Edge cases such as delays, revisions, and cancellations are explicitly addressed.
12/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Post-trade risk is low; resolution depends on publicly verifiable events.
7/10
How this market settles
No on-chain dispute record available
Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.
Volume
$749K
24h Change
—
Liquidity
$76K
24h Volume
$749K
End Date
June 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM UTC
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Tommy Paul in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
