Medium Risk
Some ambiguity present. Human review recommended before large positions.
Moderate rule clarity (72/100). The market is generally well-structured with solid time clarity and resolution source. Note: Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence". Ambiguity is limited but traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is explicitly named and authoritative.
17/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is clear and binary; resolution conditions are described in the text.
14/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.
5/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Some edge cases are considered; postponement or revision scenarios are referenced.
9/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Post-trade risk is low; resolution depends on publicly verifiable events.
7/10
How this market settles
Resolution status available
Gamma exposes a resolution status for this market (shown below).
Volume
$501K
24h Change
+54.4pp
Liquidity
$563K
24h Volume
$501K
End Date
June 21, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/scores
Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 21 at 7:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
